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  1. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 7/09/12- 7/13/12

    The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 45% bulls, 46% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 0.98 to 1. That is a buy signal which means the system will remain 100% S fund for the week of 7/09/12 - 7/13/12.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk ...
  2. Holiday trading


    7/05/12

    Stocks rallied again on Tuesday as the Dow gained 72-points in the shortened pre-holiday trading.

    ...
  3. Bonds surge, and then sell

    The bond market was doing funny things yesterday, at least at the short end of the yield curve. The hourly chart of the 3-7 year T-Bond (IEI) below shows a gap up on huge volume, and then selling the rest of the day. SPX price did take a 10 point dip at the time, but recovered. Who was selling on strength? The 1-3 year T-Bond had money outflows of -512.65 in millions (SHY), the 3-7 year T-Bond had outflows of -362.60 in millions (IEI), and 7-10 year -342.89 in millions (UST). Was the government ...
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  4. Nice day


    7/03/12

    After a 2.5% to 3 % gain in the major indices on Friday, you'd expect some digestion and that's what we got, and a little more. The Dow saw a small 8-point loss but the TSP fund indices all did quite well.

    ...
  5. Dipping dollar


    7/02/12

    Stocks rallied sharply on Friday as we had yet another wave of optimism out of Europe - if you can believe that. The Dow gained a hefty 278-points to end the 2nd quarter, and now the market heads into some positive holiday seasonality.

    ...
S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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