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Stocks were mixed yesterday, although mostly negative as the market digested Monday's big gains and traders try to make sense of the recent volatility. The Dow lost 158-points while the S&P 500 (C-fund) saw minor losses. Small caps and the I-fund, the more volatile funds, were down more percentage-wise, but they both held onto some of Monday's big gains. Bonds were down slightly as the 10-year Treasury Yields pushed back above 4%.

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TLDR: When The C-Fund closes up, the FSI Funds are more likely to close up. When The C-Fund closes down, the FSI Funds are less likely to close down.

Since I consider our C-Fund to be the standard by which all other funds should be measured, I thought it would be a good time to measure the correlation of the funds. Simply put, how often do the FSI funds trade in the same direction or against the C-Fund. For this study I've chosen to use 11, 27, 55, & 101 sessions, ...

After the new year started with a week of pullbacks, the stock market resumed its rally mode to start week two. The futures were not indicating anything better than a flat open, but as soon as that opening bell rang, the dip buyers jumped in with both feet. The Dow started the day deep in the red (down 200+ points) thanks to a steep decline in Boeing's stock, but it too caught the bullish bug, although it did lag quite a bit. Small caps also started slowly but the S-fund came back to gain near ...

Three months down, two months up, now January starts the New Year on the downside. We did see a little buying on Friday but the indices closed off their highs in a choppy day of trading following a decent, but mixed message jobs report. We'll discuss that below. The Dow gained 26-points on the day and the gains were very modest in most of the indices, but the bulls were just happy to see green after the rough start to the year. Bonds were down as yields moved up on the jobs report beat.
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Stocks began the new year with a slump. The enthusiasm that drove prices higher through November and December left investors in the first week of 2024. As a TSP investor, you must question if this change in character is a warning of more correction to come, or a buying opportunity before earnings season reignites that enthusiasm.

Twice at the end of this week, Thursday and Friday, TSP investors making IFT decisions were fooled by the market prices at the TSP trading deadline. ...