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  1. TSP Talk: Bulls fight off the bears and turn early losses into a gain

    Stocks opened sharply lower on Monday morning but the dip buyers were at the ready and the fight that the bears put up early, turned into a retreat as the bulls won the battle. The Dow gained 151-points and it was a pretty good showing for the bulls considering that the dollar had a big day and actually broke above its recent down trend. That sent commodity prices lower, including the price of oil. Bonds were up as yields slid lower. The Transportation Index was down yesterday.

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  2. TSP Talk: Bulls take charge as bears get nervous

    Stocks took Thursday's bearish negative reversal day - and on some charts a negative outside reversal day - even more bearish, and completely ignored that setup and rallied strongly to close at a multi-month high on Friday. The Dow gained an impressive 424-points, and the S&P 500 is now down less than 10%, which means it has cut its worst 2022 losses in half. The question is, will a 50% retracement of the losses pose any threat to the rally being a common Fibonacci retracement level? The ...
  3. Intrepid Timer's Weekly Chart Analysis

    For the week ending 08-12-2022

    This is my analysis of the weekly charts for the S&P 500, IWM, the VIX and 10-year yields. Premium subscribers also receive a daily commentary with the daily charts and my timing system’s signals for both TSP and ETFs outside of TSP.

    Current YTD returns thru 08-12-2022:

    TSP:
    G fund: 1.51%
    F fund: -8.58% ...
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  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Space
    The July trajectory officially continues into August, but some technical resistance should still make you question its longevity. It wasn't a great start to the week, but the Consumer Price Index sparked new life in buyers. The CPI report was slightly less than the previous months suggesting inflation has potentially peaked. It wasn't a spectacular pull back in price growth, but buyers connected it with the Federal Reserve pulling back on their aggressive rate hikes. Of course, some
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  5. TSP Talk: Stocks rally after PPI report, then fade

    Another better than expected inflation report (PPI) sent stocks flying higher at the open, but by the end of the first hour of trading we started to see the tape weaken and while over all the broader market actually had a good day, the major indices were mostly flat to lower. Bonds were down as yields and oil rallied, and that may be a problem for the market rally.

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