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  1. Oil reverses back down, stocks down


    Stocks opened lower on Monday and the bulls could not put together any kind of late rally to follow up on the positive reversal last week. After hitting the highs of the day just after 1 PM ET and taking the Dow to nearly break-even, the bears took over and the Dow ended the day down 208-points. The small caps were clobbered after Friday's fleeting hope that they would lead during the relief rally.

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  2. Sentiment Survey Results...


    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 01/25/16 - 01/29/16

    The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 36% bulls, 50% bears.

    See latest survey results


    Get the Sentiment System Signals...
  3. Nice follow-through Friday. Are the bears done?


    Stocks rallied strongly on Friday following a nearly perfect capitulation day on Wednesday, and an indecisive "spinning top" day on Thursday. The Dow gained 210-points but percentage-wise the broader indices performed even better. The rally was fueled by a mid-week reversal in the price of oil which is up an amazing 20% in the last two days.

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  4. Is the Worst Over?

    It is no secret that this January's performance is the worst ever for this particular month. But last week the market managed to stage somewhat of a rally. The big question of course, is whether the worst is over or not?

    That depends on the time frame.

    In the short term, it may be. But longer term...

    Why not the I Fund???-emw2-jpg

    The Wilshire 4500 is made up all the U.S. stocks except those in the S&P 500. This weekly chart, which I posted ...
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  5. Trading the Stats: Week 4

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    After 3 straight weeks down, it was good to put a stop to the downslide (although the volatility still does exist).
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    SPX’s week 4 ranks as the 3rd best week within the 13-week 1st quarter period (HOT)
    3rd best winning ratio
    3rd best positive average gains
    3rd best average gains
    8th best negative average gains
    What to do?-2016-week-04-weekly-spx-png

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    W4500’s week 4 ranks as the 10th best week within the 13-week 1st quarter period (COLD)
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    Updated 01-24-2016 at 05:51 AM by JTH

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S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)