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  1. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up



    The opportunity of the week was to buy the C-fund on Wednesday. The C and S-fund pulled back sharply on Wednesday after the Federal Open Markets Committee took stage to deviate from investors' expectations of the Fed Fund rate path. The market has been pricing in a rate cut in the March meeting for some time, but the Fed and their chairman Jerome Powell are not so sure they want to pull the trigger so soon. The
    probability of a rate cut in March dropped sharply after the FOMC policy
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  2. TSP Talk - As advertised, the Fed and earnings causing volatility

    The stock market bounced back from Wednesday's post-Fed sell-off, recapturing a large majority of the losses. If that wasn't enough, Amazon and Meta reported after the bell and were each up big in after hours trading. Apple also reported and it was trading down some but the over all equity futures were up a health amount on Thursday evening. If that holds it will be on top of the 1% gains we saw across the board yesterday. Bonds were up as yields fell sharply again.

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  3. Stats for February

    Greetings

    Generally speaking it was an average middle of the road January. Ranking 33rd of 63, this January closed up 1.59%, our MTD intra-high ranked 26th at 3.92% and our MTD intra-low ranked 23rd best at -1.33%.

    namor's Vegas Boxer Account Talk-202402-1-png

    While we did close Jan above the average of closes, thus far this quarter we are under-performing this same metric on the weekly chart for the 1st quarter averages. Further reading can be found in the Stats for Q1 Blog.
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    Stats
  4. TSP Talk - Earnings and the Fed disappoint the market

    The power of the Federal Reserve. After a three month rally that started in late October during earnings season and an FOMC meeting on November 1st, the Fed flipped the switch and may have ended that rally. Either that or it was an excuse for a little profit taking. The losses were steep as saw 1% to more than 2% losses in many of the indices. Interestingly, yields were down as Powell was happy with the progress of fighting inflation, but the dollar rallied late to turn an early loss into a ...
  5. TSP Talk - Get ready for some volatility

    The Dow was up triple digits yesterday, the Nasdaq was down triple digits, the S&P 500 was flat, and small caps were down sharply. What a mess in front of today - one of the busiest days of the year for stocks. Bonds were up with yields falling lower, the dollar was down after a choppy day. It was just a lot of pushing and pulling after Monday's big rally, but here comes some data that may help give some clarity as earnings were released after the bell yesterday, and of course the Fed delivers ...
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes