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  1. The Bull is Still in Charge

    The major averages posted gains for the month of April, but the S&P 500 was up only 0.39%.

    Still, it was a gain.

    Now we have entered the weaker of the two 6-month cycles. "Sell in May and go away" is an old adage and it has been largely a good one for those who follow it's longer term advice.

    Mean returns & standard deviations for each fund for past 3-5 years-spx3-jpg

    I posted this chart recently, which is a weekly chart of the S&P 500. I have embedded some envelopes above and below ...
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  2. Trading the Stats: Week 18

    The markets ended the week on a sour note, but did manage to close the month positive.

    Closing out the month of April, the S&P 500 had a below-average month, closing with a .27% gain which is the 27th best over the previous 41 years. Fortunately for the S-Funders, the Wilshire 4500 fared much better, with a 1.72% gain, ranking it as the 11th best over the previous 28 years. Based on the monthly close in March, I felt a bit disappointed with this month's performance, I expected more
    ...
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  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks were initially down this week but the bulls fought back to keep things at par as traders awaited the FOMC policy statement. Nothing particularly new was announced by the Fed; they sustained their dovish behavior as they know how sensitive the market can be otherwise. The statement didn't change the mood of the week too much except it left traders looking for guidance as to their next move. They found that guidance after the Bank of Japan held back from adding stimulus to the Japanese economy ...
  4. Stocks sell off on Japan and Carl Ichan


    Stocks opened lower on Thursday after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) did not offer any new stimulus or cuts sending the Japanese Nikkei down over 3% on the day. Buyers stepped up in the U.S. market once again after the initial selling, but a comment from Carl Icahn regarding Apple and the market in general, gave investors a reason to go back to selling. The Dow closed down 211-points.

    ...
  5. Fed, Apple, and Facebook


    Stocks opened lower on Wednesday after some disappointing earnings reports after hours on Thursday, but the closer we got to the FOMC policy statement announcement, the more buyers jumped in knowing the Fed does not disappoint. And they apparently did not as the Dow jumped nearly 100-points after the announcement, finally settling the day up 51-points.

    ...
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S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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