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(everybody's in the race)
14th trading day of March
SPX, 45% winning ratio with -.01% average returnsR2K, 50% winning ratio with -.17% average returnsAGG, 36% winning ratio with .03% average returns
SPX, 73% winning ratio with .62% average returnsR2K, 82% winning ratio with .81% average returnsAGG, 45% winning ratio with .08% average returns
The S&P 500's third week of February (week 7 of 52) closed up .63% this is above the -.27% average week 7 returns, is the 9th best week over the past 21 years, and the 22nd best over the past 66 years.
Contrasting week 8 against an up/down week 7 from 1950-2014
We show the last 65 week 8s have an average 51% winning ratio and -.05% average returns
For the 32 years when week 7 closed up, week 8 shows a 47% winning
Updated 02-23-2015 at 02:02 AM by JTH
There is already a great wealth of charts posted within the forum & blogs, all of which have done an outstanding job of covering the most important prices levels. So for tonight, I'd like to touch on some alternative viewpoints which may not fall within mainstream thinking.
We show potential for a mirrored Ascending Triangle, if the pattern repeats, then we may re-test the 2015 high in early March
Updated 02-11-2015 at 11:35 PM by JTH
I wrote "February's Historical Performance" blog last week and have not posted it because some of this analysis is dependent on January's close.
In last weekend's blog...
"I don't want to underscore the importance of this last week. "So goes January, so goes the year" and we have strong statistical evidence to back up that statement. My personal belief is that we will close both the week and the month up, it is a must! Over the past 64 Januaries 61% or 39 of 64 closed
Updated 01-30-2015 at 01:10 AM by JTH
The pink circle represents our progress for 2015, this will give us an idea of where we fall within the statistical average. Week 2 closed down -1.24%
There are 52 weeks this year, for week 3
We show a 35% winning ratio, which is in the bottom 20%, ranking in a 2-way tie for 49thWe show -.70% average gains, which is in the bottom 20%, ranking 50thWe show 1.10% average positive gains, which is in the bottom 20%, ranking 48thWe show -1.68% average
Updated 01-17-2015 at 06:27 PM by JTH