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JTH

  1. Trading the Stats: Week 8

    by
    JTH
    , 02-22-2015 at 11:49 PM
    Good evening

    The S&P 500's third week of February (week 7 of 52) closed up .63% this is above the -.27% average week 7 returns, is the 9th best week over the past 21 years, and the 22nd best over the past 66 years.

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    Contrasting week 8 against an up/down week 7 from 1950-2014


    • We show the last 65 week 8s have an average 51% winning ratio and -.05% average returns
    • For the 32 years when week 7 closed up, week 8 shows a 47% winning
    ...

    Updated 02-23-2015 at 03:02 AM by JTH

    Categories
    Uncategorized
  2. PnF: Cousin Renko

    by
    JTH
    , 02-21-2015 at 06:42 PM
    ...

    Updated 02-21-2015 at 08:53 PM by JTH

    Categories
    Point and Figure
  3. Charting: Fear is Good

    by
    JTH
    , 02-18-2015 at 01:33 AM
    ___
    Evening folks

    Fear is good, particularly fear which is already priced in and not utterly devastating to the world economy. One key reason I believe this type of fear is good, is because it keeps buyers from stepping into the markets all at the same time. This type of fear gives us a good rotation ratio of buyers to sellers, allowing the markets to "climb the wall of worry". Those lagards on the sidelines will continue to disbelieve and churn, getting burnt up over losing
    ...
    Categories
    Stocks
  4. Trading the Stats: Week 7

    by
    JTH
    , 02-13-2015 at 10:40 PM
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    For the S&P 500, the second week of February (week 6 of 52) closed up 2.02% this is above the .19% average week 6 returns, is the 4th best week over the past 21 years, and the 8th best over the past 66 years

    ___
    Contrasting week 7 against an up/down week 6 from 1950-2014


    • We show the last 65 week 7s have an average 49% winning ratio and -.02% average returns
    • For the 38 years when week 6 closed up, week 7 shows a 50% winning ratio with
    ...

    Updated 02-18-2015 at 12:39 AM by JTH

    Categories
    Stats
  5. Charting: Some Alternative Views

    by
    JTH
    , 02-11-2015 at 09:47 PM
    ___
    Evening folks

    There is already a great wealth of charts posted within the forum & blogs, all of which have done an outstanding job of covering the most important prices levels. So for tonight, I'd like to touch on some alternative viewpoints which may not fall within mainstream thinking.

    ___
    AGG

    • We show potential for a mirrored Ascending Triangle, if the pattern repeats, then we may re-test the 2015 high in early March

    ...

    Updated 02-12-2015 at 12:35 AM by JTH

    Categories
    Uncategorized
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