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JTH

  1. Filtering Out The Noise

  2. Trading the Stats: The Mid Month Report, May 2013

    by
    JTH
    , 05-14-2013 at 12:21 AM
    Good morning


    Thus far this hasn't been the typical May matching the statistics. Going back to 1950, for all months of May, Day 5's 5-Day performance (last Tuesday) tied for #11 and this Monday's 5-Day Performance tied for #12. That makes for an impressive start to May.

    For the IFT Cutoff, Tuesday provides the best exit while Wednesday provides the 2nd best entry and the same holds true for the Mon-Fri stats.


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  3. Trading the Stats: The Month of May, 2013

    by
    JTH
    , 04-28-2013 at 02:24 PM

    Good afternoon


    It’s that time of year again, the traditional time where folks start talking about the “Sell in May” phenomenon where investors exit stocks and enter bonds. While its name sake lends itself to a single month, it’s really a tactic the media dedicates to a 6-month time span, but the problem is that a whole lot can happen in half a year. Truth is, it’s really just a twist in stats, and an intelligent trader can outperform bonds during just about any time of
    ...

    Updated 04-28-2013 at 10:28 PM by JTH

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  4. Trading the Stats: Friday, April 26th, 2013

    by
    JTH
    , 04-26-2013 at 12:48 AM


    Good Morning



    The markets managed to push higher and reach the 1590 level I highlighted in a previous blog, this assessment was based on previous areas of resistance and the Bollinger Band level which has now been pushed to 1595. Afterwards prices met resistance, taking the noon-time nap, and then fading into the close. However, they did manage to hold unto enough gains to keep the bears at bay at least for Thursday. The S&P 500 closed .40% which was within
    ...

    Updated 04-26-2013 at 01:17 AM by JTH

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    Stats
  5. Trading the Stats: Thursday, April 25th, 2013

    by
    JTH
    , 04-25-2013 at 06:16 AM

    Good morning



    With a .45% intraday swing Wednesday held true to being a flat day typical of a Turn-around Tuesday recovery. Timing wise I still think the markets should pullback from here, but at the same time my market indicators that weigh overbought/oversold levels are not telling me we are due for a selloff, so it’s anyone’s game at this point. With the GDP numbers coming out this Friday, investors may either decide to step out or step in ahead of the numbers.
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