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  1. Stats for April

    Greetings

    March 2024 was yet another phenomenal month. Compared with the previous 63, this March 2024 ranked 21 of 64 with a 3.10% monthly gain.

    day trading vs hold steady-20240401-00001-png


    While it's still too early to make a call, based on YTD data (31 years filtered) we might speculate (or project) a yearly 96.8% win ratio with an average gain of 18.58%.

    ___The chart below shows where we currently fall within the 63-year historical YTD range. Here we can ...
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  2. TSP Fund Correlation

    Greetings

    TLDR: When The C-Fund closes up, the FSI Funds are more likely to close up. When The C-Fund closes down, the FSI Funds are less likely to close down.

    Since I consider our C-Fund to be the standard by which all other funds should be measured, I thought it would be a good time to measure the correlation of the funds. Simply put, how often do the FSI funds trade in the same direction or against the C-Fund. For this study I've chosen to use 11, 27, 55, & 101 sessions,
    ...

    Updated 01-09-2024 at 07:05 AM by JTH

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  3. Stats for January

    Happy New Year

    This is the 3rd & final of a three-part series starting off 2024 with blogs covering the Yearly, Quarterly, and Monthly timeframe.

    Ranking 11th of 63, December of 2023 closed up 4.42% making it a Top 17% close across the past 63 months of December. Our MTD intra-high was 5.13% ranking 11th, and our MTD intra-low was -.28% ranking 9th best.
    day trading vs hold steady-20230101-1-png

    ___
    We are now using a new 63-year timeframe from 1961-2023. Comparing
    ...
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  4. Stats for Q1

    Greetings

    This is the 2nd of a three-part series starting off 2024 with blogs covering the Yearly, Quarterly, and Monthly timeframe.


    Ranking 8th of 63, Q4 of 2023 closed up 11.24% making it a Top 13% close across the past 63 years of 4th Quarters. Our QTD High (not much higher) was 11.78% ranking 13th, and our QTD low was -4.30% ranking 39th best.
    Market Talk-20230101-1-png

    ___
    With a new year we roll the statistics forward, and are now using ...

    Updated 12-31-2023 at 07:53 AM by JTH

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  5. 2024 Stats

    Greetings

    This is the 1st of a three-part series starting off 2024 with blogs covering the Yearly, Quarterly, and Monthly timeframe.


    Ranking 13th of 63, 2023 closed up 24.23% making it a Top 21% close across the past 63 years. Our YTD High (not much higher) was 24.84% ranking 16th, and our YTD low was -1.18% ranking 11th best.

    Some might suspect a great 2023 may lead to a bad 2024, here's what this specific set of data tells us. Excluding 2023, of the top-21
    ...

    Updated 12-31-2023 at 04:20 AM by JTH

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes