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Welcome to the month of May, where the wolves run wild and the sheep are scared.
Cutting it short this week, mostly just to get June's ESD published. I've missed posting the previous two weekly blogs and since I will be traveling back to the states next week, I'll most likely miss the next two. Either ways, the seasonality is playing out rather well, and if things go as expected, perhaps there will be a good opportunity to take another short-term entry soon, and another long-term entry
The markets ended the week on a sour note, but did manage to close the month positive.
Closing out the month of April, the S&P 500 had a below-average month, closing with a .27% gain which is the 27th best over the previous 41 years. Fortunately for the S-Funders, the Wilshire 4500 fared much better, with a 1.72% gain, ranking it as the 11th best over the previous 28 years. Based on the monthly close in March, I felt a bit disappointed with this month's performance, I expected more
The markets continue to reluctantly trudge ahead, climbing the wall of worry, while leaving the naysayers behind.
There isn't much else to add, it's sort of a sleeper, where prices are creeping up inch by inch. While the S&P 500 has thus far had a very average (middle of the road) statistical month, W4500 has fared better on the weekly timeframe. And for those who are still drinking the bear cool-aid, both SPX & W4500 have closed up 10 of 16 weeks. Adding to the confusion, AGG has
Going to cut is short again, I'm just getting caught up from being out of town.
While the previous week 15 was a solid above average week, this has been a weaker than expected April, so I'm tamping down the SPX's end of month projection to 2% from the previous 4% projection.
For the SPX 6-Month Daily chart, we've hit a Double top. For the bulls, we've made a higher high, but for the bears, we failed to get a solid higher close, so it's a draw.
I'm on the road this week, working with a netbook is difficult for me, so I'll make this short and sweet.
Both SPX/W4500 had a below average week, AGG had a great week (2nd best in 12 years)
ESD is scheduled to be in the F-Fund on Tuesday, I plan to delay this signal, perhaps opting to go directly into the S-Fund. I have not made a final decision yet (mostly because I was not able to watch the markets last week)
Updated 04-10-2016 at 02:42 PM by JTH