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JTH

  1. Trading the Stats: Week 44

    For the investor October was an awesome month with an 8.30% gain

    For the S&P 500 this was the 5th best over the past 66 Octobers, and the 22nd best over the past 789 months

    This leads us to the key question many of us are asking, with such a strong October, what does this mean for November? Well, there are only 10 months of October which have closed 5% or greater and of those 10 occasions, 8 of 10 Novembers closed positive.

    MONTHLY: Listed below is November’s
    ...
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  2. Trading the Stats: November

    When ranking the best month(s) of the year, I calculate the individual rankings for each of the categories listed below, add them together, then rank the sums of each different month against each other. I do inverse the Average Negative Gains, so the smaller number ranks 1st

    Winning ratio (how many time the index closed up)
    Average gains (the overall average gains of the month for every year counted)
    Average Positive gains (only counts months which closed positive)
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  3. Trading the Stats: Week 43

    For this week, there are more charts covering the S&P 500, Wilshire 4500, and AGG. I've also added more data (meaning longer timeframes. For next week, based on the first three charts posted below, the C-Fund is statistically the strongest

    S&P 500 update (C-Fund)

    Closing the week up 2.07%, from 1974-2015 (42 years) this is the 9th best week 42

    For the 4th Quarter’s 13 weeks, week 43 has the 7th best winning ratio, 6th best average gains, 2nd best positive ...
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  4. Trading the Stats: Week 42

    Greetings

    Monthly Update (covering the past 20 years)

    Currently, the index is sitting at an outstanding 5.89%

    Over the past 20 years, this is substantially higher than the average gains of 1.65% and above the average positive gains of 4.62%

    If the index closed out the month today, it would rank as the 5th best October in 20 years, and 8th best over the past 65 Octobers.

    Pretty lights-2015-wk-42-mnth-png


    Weekly update
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    Updated 10-16-2015 at 10:32 PM by JTH

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  5. Trading the Stats: Week 41

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    Useless Data
    (strength follows strength)
    ___
    Over the past 788 months, the average monthly return is .69%
    Like this month, from 1950, there have only been 16 months which have started out with trading days 1-3 up, 4th day down, and days 5-7 up
    Of those 16 occasions, 15 closed positive, with a total average monthly return of 4.18%
    The one month which did close down was -.10%

    Transfer 7/26/ for 7/27/04-2015-wk-41-misc-png


    Statically
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    Updated 10-10-2015 at 04:43 PM by JTH

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes