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  1. Weekly Sentiment Picture

    It's time to take a look at how our fellow TSPers are allocated going into the new week. I had mentioned previously that stock allocations were rising, while cash was dropping. That does appear to be the case. Here's the charts:

    Frizz B Account-2010-fund-allocation-~-top-50-chart-3-jpg
    Frizz B Account-2010-cash-stock-exp-~-top-50-chart-1-jpg

    The Top 50 have been increasing their stock allocation for the past week or so, although total allocation is still a bit under 50%.

    Frizz B Account-complete-tracker-fund-allocation-jpg
    Frizz B Account-total-tracker-jpg ...
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  2. There is a Silver Lining

    From a sentiment perspective, today's action could have been predicted, welcomed even. Just a bullish levels were rising, we get a bad payroll report to temper the bulls. Was today's sell-off enough or is there more weakness ahead?

    Monday's have seen many big rallies in the past year, will the next one build on the end of day recovery we saw today?

    So as expected the market was waiting to make its big move on the Friday jobs report, which saw payrolls decline by 131,000. ...
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  3. Spotlight on Payrolls

    Another listless trading day with a negative tone thanks to a dismal weekly jobless claims report.

    Initial jobless claims hit a three month high at 479,000, which was worse than expected. Continuing claims did manage a decline of 34,000, but the 4.5 million total outstanding claims is nothing to cheer about.

    So now the spotlight is on payrolls and its associated data. Volume was quite low today ahead of this report, so obviously this is the one the market cares about. ...

    Updated 08-05-2010 at 08:00 PM by coolhand (Changed TRIN and TRINQ to buys)

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  4. Moving On Up

    I would think we're picking up some converts from the bear camp after today, as most mechanical systems should be flashing buys by now. The SS has been on a buy since 23 June and if you've held through the volatility you've been doing well. I'm expecting even higher prices in the days, and perhaps weeks ahead.

    This morning the market received an ADP Employment reading coupled with an ISM Index reading that were both better than expected, but the market didn't exactly do cartwheels ...

    Updated 08-04-2010 at 07:50 PM by coolhand

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  5. More Consolidation

    After all, Monday was up big so some consolidation should be expected, and that more than anything was the reason for the weakness.

    Economic data released this morning included a pending home sales report for June that saw a decline of 2.6%, less than expected, but a decline nonetheless.

    Also in the mix, June factory orders dropped 1.2%, while May's report was revised lower to a 1.8% decline.

    Personal income, spending, and core personal consumption were ...
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