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  1. There is an Alternative

    I haven't posted a blog in quite some time. It's been on my mind to put something out there, but my time is limited between my regular job and my premium service. Still, it's something that I'd like to do more often, even if only on occasion.

    I joined TSP Talk back in October of 2004. That means I've been around on this site for almost 10 years now. In that time I've made many friends and learned many things. One bit of knowledge I've acquired has served me very well and I'd like ...

    Updated 07-07-2014 at 03:11 PM by coolhand

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  2. Has Anything Changed?

    Happy New Year to everyone! I wish good health and prosperity to all this New Year.

    And now that 2014 has begun, has anything changed in the market? We did see some selling pressure the first trading day last Thursday and it was enough to cause a weekly loss across the TSP stock funds (C, S, and I). It certainly wasn't enough to get excited about and I suspect it was largely profit taking from those traders and investors who wanted to see how the New Year started out before taking ...
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  3. Seasonality Remains Positive

    Even our bearish sentiment survey at 76% bulls was no match for seasonality and liquidity last week as some of the indexes continue to hit fresh all-time highs. This week, our sentiment survey continued to be overly bullish at 71% bulls and we had less bears in the survey at just 19%. It certainly seems that many traders and investors are becoming more aware of how much QE has meant to the stock market. Just looking at our auto-tracker for 2013 shows that trying to protect capital throughout the ...
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  4. Underlying Market Support Delivers Again

    It was a bit of a toss up last week to know where the indexes would end up by Friday as strong (positive) seasonality was tempered by fairly bullish sentiment. Early on, the indexes did start out under a bit of pressure. But mid-week came the FOMC announcement. And it was probably the last one that Mr. Bernanke would give. It was expected that "tapering" might begin and that was partly what the market was looking for some clarity on. So when it was announced that tapering would begin by cutting ...
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  5. Seasonality vs. Sentiment

    Stocks have had a quite a run this year, with not much more than intermediate term weakness in between the up-legs. And as we head into the final two weeks or so of the trading year, seasonality is very positive. But has the bull run out of steam just as Santa is ready to make his appearance? Recent weakness and the inability of the indexes to get any traction to the upside suggest that might be the case. Especially given how bullish sentiment has been for a few weeks now.

    Perhaps ...

    Updated 12-16-2013 at 01:06 PM by coolhand

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