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Coolhand's Market Analysis

Bearish Sentiment Yields More Gains

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Last week, the Total Tracker revealed a modest dip in stock allocations (less than 3.5%), but sentiment was much more bearish as reported by our sentiment survey. That bearish sentiment helped stocks tack on significant gains for the week.

This week, the Total Tracker shows more profit taking as total stock allocations dropped again. Bullish levels rose and bearish levels dropped in this week's sentiment survey, which keeps the sentiment survey in a hold (buy) condition.

Let someone manage your own money???-top-50-fund-allocation-jpg
Let someone manage your own money???-2012-top-50-trend-jpg

The Top 50 remained very committed to a high stock allocation going into the new week.

Let someone manage your own money???-total-tracker-fund-allocation-jpg
Let someone manage your own money???-2012-total-tracker-trend-jpg

As I already mentioned, and as you can see, total stock allocations fell for the new week (by 5.1%) to a total stock allocation of 53.44%.

From a sentiment point of view, we don't appear to be anywhere near a longer term top. But we are sure due for a more serious correction. But selling pressure has remained largely contained and short lived. And at the moment, I don't see that market character changing, but we'll just have to see how it plays out over the coming weeks.

If you didn't see the allocation change, the Seven Sentinels went to an intermediate term buy condition on the 25th of April. The IFT was executed on the 26th.

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  1. twohorsefarm's Avatar
    Coolhand you and Tsptalk know what you are doing in the market. Have not posted in some time but always what for your post. I don't give stock tips but you and tsptalk would like this one. BOIL opposite is KOLD. I am up 20% on BOIL with natural gas close to ten year low this may by worth a look. Don't like putting this information out due to the risk but you two can handel the play. Wish me luck.
  2. Unregistered's Avatar
    Hello, just a dumb, basic question. How do I find charts of the components of the 7 sentinels? I looked up their symbols on Yahoo but didn't get anything. Is there a specific website you pull these from? Thanks!
  3. coolhand's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Unregistered
    Hello, just a dumb, basic question. How do I find charts of the components of the 7 sentinels? I looked up their symbols on Yahoo but didn't get anything. Is there a specific website you pull these from? Thanks!
    You have to build the chart (it's not hard at all) using a charting site like stockcharts.com. You may have to play around with it a bit to get familiar with the site and tools, but once you understand how to plug it all in it takes less than 3 minutes to look at all 7 seven charts.
  4. coolhand's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by twohorsefarm
    Coolhand you and Tsptalk know what you are doing in the market. Have not posted in some time but always what for your post. I don't give stock tips but you and tsptalk would like this one. BOIL opposite is KOLD. I am up 20% on BOIL with natural gas close to ten year low this may by worth a look. Don't like putting this information out due to the risk but you two can handel the play. Wish me luck.
    I'll check it out. Thanks thf.

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