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Coolhand's Market Analysis

Moving in Opposite Directions

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by
coolhand
, 05-01-2011 at 11:48 AM (2154 Views)
The Top 50 adds to its stock allocation for this coming week, while the Total Tracker shows the herd is playing it safe. Our sentiment survey is on a hold (S fund) for the new week. Here's the charts:

Buy and Hold vs. Trading-2011-fund-allocation-~-top-50-chart-3-jpg
Buy and Hold vs. Trading-2011-cash-stock-exp-~-top-50-chart-1-jpg

The Top 50 are over 80% allocated across the C,S, and I funds, with the S fund understandably the fund of choice.

Buy and Hold vs. Trading-total-fund-allocation-chart-3-jpg
Buy and Hold vs. Trading-2011-cash-stock-total-exp-chart-1-jpg

The Total Tracker showed stock allocations dropped for the 2nd week in a row. They were wrong last week, but they do remain over 50% allocated in stocks, which keeps the group bullish overall.

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Comments

  1. Unregistered's Avatar
    I pulled out last month and lost 2%, My error thought I had another move and cost me. When to jump back in?
  2. coolhand's Avatar
    The market is looking tentative and it's certainly ripe for a pullback. We're getting some the last two days, including today, but there could be more. That gap on the S&P is a good target reentry if we can get there. But with liquidity still being pumped it's not a given that this gap will be filled soon either. But that's what I'm looking for. I'm also watching NAMO and NYMO to see what they do. Too soon to predict anything though. I'm still sitting tight in the G fund.

    Quote Originally Posted by Unregistered
    I pulled out last month and lost 2%, My error thought I had another move and cost me. When to jump back in?

S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time) 		DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time) 		EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time) 		BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes