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BIENVENIDOS. ES EL TECNICO ANALISIS UNA FALACIA? ES EL MERCADO ALAZAR O NO O AMBOS?

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POSICION 100% S-FUND - 11thDeciembre 2014

Es el tecnicoanalisis una falacia? Es el mercado alazar o no o ambos? Veamos, pero antes,
REVISEMOS UNASDEFINICIONES DEL DICCIONARIO DE INVESTOPEDIA:
INVERSIONISTA:Cualquiera que hace una inversion.

INVERSION: Es lacompra de algo con potencial de apreciarse y generar ingresos futuros. (Educacion,Bienes Raices, Bonos, Acciones, Etc.), generalmente implica la creacion deriquezas.
ESPECULADOR:Cualquira que hace una especulacion.

ESPECULACION: Esel proceso de selecionar inverciones de alto riesgo para ganar en el cambio anticipadode precio. ESPECULACION no es puramente una forma de jugar. Especuladores hacendecisiones informadas antes de escoger tomar riesgos adicionales. ESPECULACIONno es una inversion porque el riesgo es mas alto que el average. Losespeculadores sofisticados tambien usan estrategias de coverturas en combinacioncon sus especulaciones para limitar el potencial de sus perdidas.

JUGADOR:Cualquiera que hace una jugada.

JUGADA: Es elresutado de juegos, chances, apuestas o eventos con resultados inciertossujetos a impuestos.
INGRESOS DEJUGADAS: incluye todo dinero ganado jugando en las maquinas, loterias, apuestasde caballos, boxeo, lucha libre, etc.

PERDIDAS DEJUGADAS: Incluye todo dinero perdido jugando en las maquinas, loterias,apuestas de caballos, boxeo, lucha libre, etc.

La Falacia delJugador: Es cuando un individuo cree erroneamente que el resultado de un eventoalazar is menos probable que pase despues de seguir una serie eventos. Estaforma de pensar es erronea porque eventos pasados no cambian la probabilidad deque ciertos eventos ocurran en el future.

Es el tecnicoanalisis una falacia? Es el mercado alazar o no o ambos?

Commerciante dela bolsa de valores es aquel individuo que transfiere bienes financieros encualquiera de los mercados financieros para beneficio propio o de otros. Lamayor diferencia entre el comerciante de la bolsa de valores y el inversionistaes que le inversinesta es la duracion que la persona sostiene el product.Inversionista tiende a ver el horizonte a largo plazo, mientras el comerciantetiende a mantener el product por corto tiempo para capitalizer sobre lastendencias de corto plazo. El problema son los costo de comisiones frequentes. Perocon las casas de descuentos para los corredores los costos son problemasmenores. Hata la proxima.



POSITION 100% S-FUND - 11thDecember 2014

Is technicalanalysis a fallacy? Is the market random, or not, or both? Let’s see, butbefore,
LET’S REVIEW SOMEDEFINITIONS OF THE INVESTOPEDIA DICTIONARY:

INVESTOR: Anyone who does an investment.

INVESTMENT: Is the purchase of an asset with potential appreciation and or future income generation. (College Education, Real Estate Property, Bonds, Stocks, Etc.)

SPECULATOR:Anyone who does a speculation

SPECULATION: Is the process of selecting investments with higher risk in order to profit froman anticipated price movement. SPECULATION is not purely a form of gambling.Speculators do make an informed decision before choosing to acquire the additional risks. SPECULATION is not an investment because the risk is higher than average. Sophisticated Speculators will also use a hedging strategy in combination with their speculation in order to limit potential losses

GAMBLER: Anyone who does gambling.

GAMBLING: Is the result of games, chances, wagers, or events with uncertain outcomes subject to taxation.
GAMBLING INCOME:Includes any money earned playing slot machines, bingo, the lottery, betting on horse races, boxing, sumo wrestling, Etc.

GAMBLING LOSSES Includes the cash lost at the slot machines or when a "sure bet"comes up lame in the race.
Gambler's Fallacy: Is when an individual erroneously believes that the onset of a certain random event is less likely to happen following an event or a series of events.This line of thinking is incorrect because past events do not change the probability that certain events will occur in the future. Is technical analys is a fallacy? Is the market random or not or both?

TRADER: Is an individual who engages in the transfer of financial assets in any financial market, either for themselves, or on behalf of someone else. The main difference between a trader and an investor is the duration for which the person holds the asset. Investors tend to have a longer term time horizon, whereas traders tend to hold assets for shorter periods of time in order to capitalize on short-term trends. One main problem with engaging in short-term trading was commission costs. Because traders frequently engage in short-term trading strategies to chase after profit; they often rack up large commission fees.However, an increasing number of highly competitive discount brokerages has made this cost less of an issue.

Till next time.

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Comments

  1. konakathy's Avatar
    Well, I'm a gambler and a rambler and turning into a trader. I can't wait until I can roll over my TSP account into my brokerage account. I know I can do better with my account earnings without the 2 IFT restrictions.
  2. Tiger25's Avatar
    You sounded like a Joni Mitchell song at first. I'm a rambler and a gambler and a sweet talking ladies man. Ha !! Help me I think I'm falling in love again. Ha Ha !! Happy Friday !!

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