Recent Blogs Posts

Happy belated birthday Nnuut

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For the S&P 500, 1st quarter 2015 put in a higher high, higher low, and higher close. We closed up .44% this is below with the 20-year 1.75% average returns, is the 14th best first quarter over the past 21 years, and the 38th best over the past 65 years


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For the shorter 20-year trend, we'll contrast the 2nd quarter against the other 3 quarters of the year

• We show a 65% winning ratio, which ranks

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Stocks gapped open significantly higher on Monday and never looked back as the Dow closed up 264-points, it's best gain since February 3 and was never really up less than 100-points after the opening bell. Corporate mergers and optimism that central banks will support for global growth was the reason given to the rally.

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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 03/30/15- 04/03/15

The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 40% bulls, 42% bears.

See latest survey results

Get the Sentiment System Signals...

Stocks traded in a fairly tight range on Friday with the bulls winning the battle as the Dow gained 34-points. It wasn't exactly a capitulation from the bears, but the S&P 500 was able to close well above the Thursday lows for a 2nd straight day. The bulls do have some more work to do, but it looks like they haven't given up quite yet. It's getting close to do or die.

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It was a horrible week, perhaps it's a good time to follow it up with a rally.

For the S&P 500, the 4th week of March (week 12 of 52) closed down -2.23% this is the 2nd worst week this year, the 20th worst over the past 21 years, and the 61st worst over the past 66 years.

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Contrasting upcoming week 13 against an up/down week 12 from 1950-2014

• We show the last 65 week 13s have an average 52% winning ratio with .13% average returns

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