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  1. What IF?

    Options expiration weeks are notorious for going against the prevailing trend. Options market makers do not like losing money and seem to have deep pockets and methods to move the market. Using SP 500 as a surrogate, I noticed that put options have a great deal of open interest with a strike price in the 1320-1375 area, with one big bump at 1400. The main open interest in options calls for the SP 500 appears to be in the 1390-1450 area, with one big bump at 1350. The options market maker plan ...
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  2. Not so fast


    4/16/12

    The strong rally on Wednesday and Thursday last week, came to an abrupt end on Friday as the indices were sent reeling. The Dow lost 137 and the S&P 500 is hanging onto some key support to start this week.


    For the TSP, the C-fund was down 1.25% on Friday, the S-fund fell 1.28%, the I-fund gave up 1.19%, and the F-fund (bonds) ...
  3. Trend Cube Update

    My Uptrend Trend Cube, found on the Message Board, Members Account Talk, debuted in March, 2012. It is meant to view market conditions and aid trading decisions at a glance. Today’s trend cube as well as a brief explanation for each cell is shown. Daily trend cube updates will be posted on my thread in the Members Account Talk area.

    The Uptrend Trend Cube is a trend based system for the Thrift Savings Plan F, C, S and I funds, in three timeframes; days-weeks, weeks-months, and weeks-years. ...
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  4. Bulls Charge Ahead

    The most notable point to make for this week's tracker charts is that the herd (total tracker) got much more bullish in the wake of recent weakness (and subsequent rally). Let's look at the charts:

    Let someone manage your own money???-top-50-fund-allocation-jpg
    Let someone manage your own money???-2012-top-50-trend-jpg

    The Top 50 have been holding relatively steady for weeks now. Total stock exposure is 83.2%, although that number dipped almost 5% for the coming week.

    Let someone manage your own money???-total-tracker-fund-allocation-jpg
    ...
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes