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  1. Will March come in like a lion, or a lamb?


    3/01/12

    Stocks opened higher yesterday after a couple strong economic reports, but retreated after Ben Bernanke told Congress that unless growth accelerated, the unacceptably high U.S. unemployment rate would not keep dropping. The Dow fell 53-points on the day.


    For the TSP, the C-fund was down 0.46% yesterday, the S-fund lost 0.94%, the I-fund ...
  2. Bears Win One

    It hasn't happened very often over the past two and a half months, but the bears managed to win a battle for a change. Losses were moderate overall.

    Transfer 5/25 for 5/26/04-seven-sentinels-signal-png

    The Seven Sentinels remain in a sell condition with NAMO and NYMO continuing to fall lower. This has been a warning sign for the past couple of weeks. Whether we head lower in earnest remains to be seen, but risk is definitely elevated.
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  3. Will there ever be a pullback?


    2/29/12

    The bull train continued to roll up the tracks as the Dow gained another 24-points yesterday. Although the gains were modest, and small caps and Transportation stocks were down, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq followed the Dow up and kept their trends going.


    For the TSP, the C-fund was up 0.35% yesterday, the S-fund lost 0.19%, the I-fund
    ...
  4. Bulls Continue to Press their Advantage

    Unlike yesterday, the DOW managed to close above 13,000 (first time since May of 2008). But it was a mixed close as rising prices are not lifting all boats. The Wilshire 4500 was down (S Fund), while the major averages posted modest to moderate gains. The I fund was the winner on the day as the dollar was down about 0.5%.

    Transfer 5/25 for 5/26/04-seven-sentinels-signal-png

    So the Seven Sentinels remain in an intermediate term sell condition, but given the resilience of this market I would ...
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  5. Bulls won't go away


    2/28/12

    Stocks opened sharply lower on Monday but buyers quickly stepped up after the release of some positive housing data, and the indices basically treaded water the rest of the day. The Dow had been down about 100-points in early trading but closed down just 1-point.


    For the TSP, the C-fund was up 0.15% yesterday, the S-fund slipped 0.01%, the I-fund ...
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