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tsptalk
01-20-2005, 01:39 PM
Does anyone else feel that Ebay's sell off is a bit exaggerated? Down $17 (to$86)a share because they missed estimates by a penny (.33 vs .34)? Ebay is a great company. Google ($192) is being dragged down some with it and they report earnings any day now.
I think I will pick up some ebay.
Disclosure: I aleady ownsome Google, and have some ebay options.
No I don't. EBay was priced not to fail..and it did, in fact,fail to meet expectations. Remember thateven with the current hit, it's still running a pe of 75. Combine the priciness of EBaywith the current bear environment and you have an action that seems very much in line.IF EBay returns to its previous stellar record, then I agree that its a good buy today. However, considering that this may not be a stellar year for stocks in general, it could take a longer periodfor the stock price to turn around.
I think Google is also way overpricedin the current environment...
tsptalk
01-20-2005, 02:06 PM
.33 was ebay's forecast for themselves..34 was analysts lofty forecasts. It was definitely priced with a high multiple but growth was solid.
I think it's interesting that some brokerages are lowering their recommendations on ebay to hold or sell, and others are calling it a buying opportunity.
The valuation as well as earnings potential are being considered. Also, there is a philosophy among analysts that if you have one disappointment in a company, there are likelymore to follow...
Google is down almost 2% today. Ebay is down almost 20%. Taser is up 3%.
I guess those who are stunned by the declines are faring well today. (Sorry, I just had to say that...:D.)
I think someone needs to direct a taser in my direction...
Tom,
I believe the issue is that ebay has increased their fees to sell items. That means the lower costs items will be hard to turn a profit. So folks are selling off because that will push business Yahoos way.
This is a stock to short at this point. Because they also guided down for 05.
Good luck!
tsptalk
01-20-2005, 11:31 PM
Tuxx wrote: I believe the issue is that ebay has increased their fees to sell items. That means the lower costs items will be hard to turn a profit. So folks are selling off because that will push business Yahoos way. This is a stock to short at this point. Because they also guided down for 05.
Tuxx -
That news about fees came out days ago so I think it is your second point that is the thorn.
I think as a long term hold (which is tough for me) it is a good time to grab some. They also have a stock split set for mid-February.
Thanks!
tsptalk
01-20-2005, 11:38 PM
saraho wrote: Taser is up 3%.
I guess those who are stunned by the declines are faring well today. (Sorry, I just had to say that...:D.)
That is shocking. ;)
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