Page 21 of 46 FirstFirst ... 11192021222331 ... LastLast
Results 241 to 252 of 542

Thread: ripper's account talk

  1. #241

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    At the close:

    Bought 50% TNA @ 103.80
    Bought XIV @ 49.59

  2.  
  3. #242

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Weekly update:

    Year-to-date compounded performance does not include current open trades.

    Aggressive Model:
    YTD: +64.3%
    Current position: 100% TNA @ 103.12

    Conservative Model
    YTD: +9.5%
    Current position: 100% SPY @ 223.34

    Volatility Model:
    YTD (Beginning 7/5): +53.6%
    Current position: 100% XIV @ 49.59

  4.  
  5. #243

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Sold TNA @ 101.29
    Sold SPY @ 224.29
    Bought SH @ 36.42


  6.  
  7. #244

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    At the close:

    Bought 50% TZA @ 19.66
    Sold XIV @ 47.77

  8.  
  9. #245

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Weekly Update and Year-End Review

    To give a more accurate depiction of each model's performance in 2016, I used closing prices on 12/30 as selling prices on current open trades and I'll use those same prices as purchasing prices going into 2017. The performance numbers listed below are compounded.

    Aggressive Model
    YTD: +62.2%
    Current position: 50% TZA @ 19.85

    Conservative Model
    YTD: +10.4%
    Current position: 100% SH @ 36.54

    Volatility Model:
    YTD (Beginning 7/5): +48.0%
    Current position: Cash

    I'm glad I decided to begin posting this a year ago. In the past, I had the bad habit of often following systems until they did poorly and/or I lost interest. Posting on here made me committed to following these daily. I plan on continuing posting positions on here for a while, but I'm not committed to doing this for another entire year. Overall, I was satisfied with the returns for the models.

    Aggressive Model
    I had a goal for this model of a gain of 50% for the year. The model actually achieved this in about the first six months, followed by a smaller gain in the second half of the year. The main reason for this was that I was able to monitor markets during the day the first six months. After that, I had some changes to my routine that didn't allow that and I mainly had to trade off of closing prices. Despite that, I have a goal of a gain of 50% again for this model in 2017.

    Conservative Model
    My goal for the year for this model was a gain of 20%, of which it fell short. Part of the reason was that I made several errors that went against the system. I feel confident that it will achieve a 20% gain in 2017.

    Volatility Model.
    Since I started posting it early in July, my goal for the year for this model was a gain of 50% and it came up a bit short. I had back-tested this model for 18 months prior to July and it showed an average gain of about 10%/month. I think it's capable of doubling in 2017 with a 100% return. It's a pretty lofty goal...time will tell.

  10.  
  11. #246

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Ripper,
    Pretty amazing results from these models. I'm missing something, how would they apply to TSP? i.e. moving in and out of the S-Fund for instance?

    Thanks!

    WS
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  12.  
  13. #247

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Ripper,
    Pretty amazing results from these models. I'm missing something, how would they apply to TSP? i.e. moving in and out of the S-Fund for instance?

    Thanks!

    WS
    Good question. I actually decided last week to trade this system in the AutoTracker for 2017, so I guess we'll find out.
    There are some drawbacks. As a swing trade, it changes on an average change of every one to two weeks...although sometimes longer, sometimes shorter. So there is a chance that some trades will be missed in the TSP due to the limit on IFT's. Also, it could suffer due to the delay in being able to make a transfer in TSP. For example, I was in the S Fund last week until the model switched to a sell on Thursday. I made an IFT to G/F then, but it wasn't effective until COB on Friday and had to endure Friday's S Fund loss.
    I'm not trading this system with my TSP, but I will trade it on the AutoTracker for a year and see how it performs.

  14.  
  15. #248

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Awesome, thanks! Looking forward to seeing how it performs
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  16.  
  17. #249

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    At the close:

    Sold TZA @ 19.57
    Sold 50% SH @ 36.29
    Bought XIV @ 50.29

  18.  
  19. #250

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    At the close:

    Sold XIV @ 52.85
    Bought 50% TZA @ 18.58
    Bought 50% SH @ 36.08

  20.  
  21. #251

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    At the close:

    Sold 50% TZA @ 19.46
    Sold 50% SH @ 35.94
    Bought 100% XIV @ 53.67

  22.  
  23. #252

    Default Re: ripper's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by ripper View Post
    At the close:

    Sold 50% TZA @ 19.46
    Sold 50% SH @ 35.94
    Bought 100% XIV @ 53.67
    These are incorrect due to miscalculations on Friday.
    There should have been no position changes. I will post the current positions later today in the weekly update.


  24.  
Page 21 of 46 FirstFirst ... 11192021222331 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
ripper's account talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
ripper's account talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
ripper's account talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)
ripper's account talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes