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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #1081

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by sniper View Post
    dollar is up big right now, hmmm..

    We could be going through a rotation where the dollar & the markets are aligned.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  3. #1082

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    We could be going through a rotation where the dollar & the markets are aligned.
    fed made an announcement saying that QE should end 'well before' the end of 2013, makes sense the dollar would spike on that news

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  5. #1083

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Wait a minute! How can the market go up if the Fed isn't artificially supporting it anymore?

    (Questions we didn't have to ask 15 years ago. )
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  7. #1084

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Wait a minute! How can the market go up if the Fed isn't artificially supporting it anymore?

    (Questions we didn't have to ask 15 years ago. )
    Fed thinking of the possibility of yanking QE is a good sign that the economy is recovering I'd think. Or am I wrong here?

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  9. #1085

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by sniper View Post
    Fed thinking of the possibility of yanking QE is a good sign that the economy is recovering I'd think. Or am I wrong here?
    Market doesn't care...

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  11. #1086

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by RealMoneyIssues View Post
    Market doesn't care...
    that is true.

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  13. #1087

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by sniper View Post
    Fed thinking of the possibility of yanking QE is a good sign that the economy is recovering I'd think. Or am I wrong here?
    Good point. But it's like trying to tell a 25 year 'child' that they'd be better off in the long run if you don't keep giving them money to bail them out of financial problems. They'll throw a fit in the short-term, but benefit down the road.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  15. #1088

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    In the 1990s equity markets in the US rallied as the US dollar rallied as well. JTH is correct in his assumption of a realignment. The main idea is do not let currency movements trick you into thinking that a strong dollar is bearish for equities. Valuations are setting the market up for a strong 3 to 5 years.

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  17. #1089

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Agree. Find the trends / divergences, but when it's over, it's over. The dollar and the U.S. market don't always move counter to each other, but the divergence has been pretty strong for a few years. The international markets are however, much more influenced by the dollar.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  19. #1090

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    VIX under 14, this makes me nervous. it seems like whenever it gets that low, another spike is coming

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  21. #1091

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    VIX currently at 13.66 -0.90 - put on your sticky pants. If your don't own a pair I'm sure Nnuut will lend you a pair of his. The coming consolidation may not happen until March.

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  23. #1092

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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