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Market Comments
August
20, 2004
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| Today's Comments (Short Term Outlook) |
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Just a bit of digestion. The indices took a breather after four solid up days in a row. It may take another day or two but the rally should continue. The S&P 500 has now broken above two trend lines that should have acted as resistance. The next stop could be 1130 - 1135.
Isn't it interesting that the AAII investor sentiment survey bearish reading hit 40% just as we bottomed out (assuming we have)? I talked about that magic number and now I wish I was patient enough to wait for that level of bearishness to materialize before I got fully invested. It is back up to to 35% this week so any continued digestion should push us back near 40%. The higher the better. The I fund managed a modest gain in the face of the U.S. market weakness. It was the weakness of the U.S. dollar that helped. The dollar is still in a down trend so I will keep that 50% in the I fund for a while longer.
That's all for today. I am staying the course as I am still very bullish. Currently 50% S, 50% I fund. Have a good weekend. Don't forget to ask questions and share your ideas on the message board.
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