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RevShark's TSP Timing Newsletter & Afternoon Commentary

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Market Commentary

January 19, 2018

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 Today's Commentary         (Not seeing a current commentary?)               


We saw some red on Thursday but nothing serious considering the gains leading up the selling.  It was kind of a yawner and rather than selling, it was more of a slowdown in buying.  The Dow lost 98-points with smaller percentage losses in the broader S&P and Nasdaq, while the small caps lost almost a half of a percent. 
 
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After the bell on Thursday we saw IBM and American Express selling off a bit after disappointing earnings reports and that could put some pressure on the Dow today. 

The yield on the 10-year Treasury moved above 2.6% yesterday, which is the highest level in almost a year. 

They are working on a continuing resolution in Washington as I write this, to kick the can down the road because it is looking more like a budget deal will not be reached by Friday's deadline.  We could see some selling on Friday if nothing is done, but I expect them to just move the deadline again.


The SPY (S&P 500 / C-fund) drifted slightly lower on Thursday as it digested Wednesday's big gains.  The trends are intact but support is getting thinner.

      


The small caps / S-fund took a moderate hit giving back about half of Wednesday's gains.  It remains in the rising wedge formation.

      


The EAFE Index (I-fund) was up on the day but with it being so extended, some kind of pullback seems inevitable in the coming days.

        


The High Yield Corporate Bond Fund was down again as the bear flag takes more shape.

      

      
The AGG (bonds / F-fund) gapped down on Thursday and closed below the 200-day EMA for the first time in about a year as those bond yields continue to rise.  This is a technical breakdown on a couple of levels.

      


Read more in today's TSP Talk Plus Report.  We post more charts, indicators and analysis, plus discuss the allocations of the TSP and ETF Systems.  For more information on how to gain access and a list of the benefits of being a subscriber, please go to: www.tsptalk.com/plus.php

Thanks for reading.  Have a great weekend!

Tom Crowley


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Chart provided courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com
 
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S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)
Source: https://finance.google.com/finance

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