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Market Commentary

February 17, 2017

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 Today's Commentary         (Not seeing a current commentary?)               


Stocks spent most of the day on Thursdays with modestly negative returns but rallied into the close to end the day mixed and nearly flat.  The S&P was down for the first time in 8 days while the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) was down for the first time in 10, if you want to call -0.03% a loss.  The Dow was up 8-points so that's 6 positive days in a row.

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The bulls remain in charge despite the market probably needing a little rest.  Too much upside without some backing and filling could create a vacuum with no support and the indices become vulnerable to a sharp pullback.

I've been on the road the last couple of days so let's wrap this up quickly and get our holiday weekend started.


The SPY (S&P 500 / C-fund) was down slightly but closed well off the lows as the dip buyers did their job as we headed into the close.  The trend remains up but it looks extended.  The question is, is the bullish economic rhetoric coming out of Washington, which is helping fuel the rally, going to manifest into what investors are expecting?  As I have been saying, stocks may be getting priced for perfection so if expectation are not met, we could have a problem.

       


Thanks for reading.  Have a great President's Day weekend! 

Tom Crowley

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
02/16/17

Stocks opened lower again on Wednesday but it didn't take long for that to turnaround, and more comments from President Trump about his new tax plan sent stock flying into the afternoon with solid gains and new highs across the board.
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The rally over the last week plus has been steady and unrelenting.  The simplified tax plan and lowering of taxes for individuals and corporations has been just too tough for investors to ignore.  Patience has not been the name of the game in this market as the fear of missing out seems to be in high gear.

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I have to make this quick today but I think we all see what's going on here.
 

The SPY (S&P 500 / C-fund) is off and running gain and it just hit another resistance line, this one a longer-term resistance, but that has done little to derail this rally this year.

       


The EFA (I-fund) made a new 2017 high as well although it too is up against some resistance, if that even matters anymore.

     


The dollar was up solidly early yesterday but pulled back as the day went on creating a negative reversal day, but it remained within its recent rising trading channel. 

    


The AGG (bonds / F-fund) was down again and this time it fell through support.

    


Read more in today's TSP Talk Plus Report.  We post more charts, indicators and analysis, plus discuss the allocations of the TSP and ETF Systems.  For more information on how to gain access and a list of the benefits of being a subscriber, please go to: www.tsptalk.com/plus.php

Thanks for reading. 
We'll see you back here tomorrow.

Tom Crowley


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  The easiest way to print this commentary is to copy and paste above into a document like Word.

Chart provided courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com
 
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S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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20min. delay http://finance.yahoo.com

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