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Market Commentary

November 22, 2017

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 Today's Commentary         (Not seeing a current commentary?)               

Stocks were FAANG'ed again on Tuesday as the top Tech stocks pulled the rest of the market up with them.  Small caps continue to bounce strongly off of its recent lows and the S&P 500 is now flirting with 2600.  The Dow gained 161-points, or 0.69%.  The Nasdaq led with those FAANG stocks having big days.
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The market got an early start to its Thanksgiving rally although the Tuesday before does have a decent record, as shown below, but on Wednesday and Friday the bears usually are off eating turkey, or whatever bears eat.

                                    Chart courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com

The question I keep hearing is whether the Santa Claus rally has started already, but it's actually a little too early for that.  The market has been strong so it may buck the trend, but there's normally a lull in mid-December before Santa shows up.

The SPY (S&P 500 / C-fund) broke out to a new high on Tuesday and there is a bit more room on the upside before hitting that rising resistance line.  The next two trading days (Wed. and Fri.) have a pretty good seasonal breeze at their backs so that's a good possibility. 


The DWCPF (small caps / S-fund) gapped up and has made a beeline higher since briefly breaking below the 50-day EMA last week.  What a difference a day makes for the small caps which are are very dependent on the new tax plan eventually passing.  So keep an eye on the contentious Senate race in Alabama.  If democrat Doug Jones beats the beleaguered republican Roy Moore, it could pose more difficulties for getting the tax bill passed - unless they can get it passed before the winner is sworn in.


The Dow Transportation Index bounced higher with a 1% gain on Tuesday but it is still below some key resistance and forming a possible bear flag.


The EAFE Index (I-fund) was up on the day but closed off the highs after the large gap up higher.  There's some possible descending resistance near 69.50.


The AGG (Bonds / F-fund) was up slightly and it continues to trade in the narrowing apex between rising support and descending resistance.


Read more in today's TSP Talk Plus Report.  We post more charts, indicators and analysis, plus discuss the allocations of the TSP and ETF Systems.  For more information on how to gain access and a list of the benefits of being a subscriber, please go to: www.tsptalk.com/plus.php

Thanks for reading.  Have a Happy Thanksgiving!  I will be back on Friday with a brief update.

Tom Crowley

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  The easiest way to print this commentary is to copy and paste above into a document like Word.

Chart provided courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com
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S&P 500 (C Fund)
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