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RevShark's TSP Timing Newsletter & Afternoon Commentary

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Market Commentary

June 19, 2018

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 Today's Commentary         (Not seeing a current commentary?)               


S
tocks were mixed again on Monday after a fairly sharp sell-off to start the day, but once again the bulls battled back and kept the damage to a minimum, and in some cases like the Nasdaq and the small caps, pushed them into positive territory.  The Dow lost 103-points on the day but it seems to be a sector picking market where the assets from the sales are buying something else.
 
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We've seen this pattern of weak opens and strong closes lately.  The interesting thing is that these patterns tend to roll the positive momentum into the following day, but instead we keep seeing the weakness early. 

This may
turn out to be a rolling over for the S&P (see charts below) but it also can be considered a bull flag so we'll need a few more days to decipher this one.
 

Reminder:  I apologize, but I'm going to be in and out of the office over the next couple of weeks [starting 6/7], doing some traveling.  I will be checking emails and posting premium alerts as usual, and I will posting something here everyday, but it may be quick updates and my timeframes may be off a little.  The AutoTracker may also be updated later than normal.



The S&P 500 / C-fund could be creating a bull flag, but another day or so may tell us if this is a flag, or just a rolling over.  There is support at 2750 now, then not until the 50-day EMA after that.  The last bull flag did break to the upside so we may have to give the edge to the bulls for now, since the bears seem reluctant.

     


The small caps (S-fund) posted a very strong positive reversal day and it closed at a new high.  The only negative here is that it is quite a bit extended and perhaps in need of a rest.

     


The EAFE Index (I-fund) hit the 200-day EMA, as we talked about on Monday, so we're now on a watch for a possible head and shoulders breakdown.  Watch the 69 - 68.50 area.

     


The Financials' chart looks similar to the I-fund chart above and it too is now testing some key support in its head and shoulders-like pattern.

         


The AGG (Bonds /F-fund) closed fairly flat on the day, recovering some early losses and holding at the 50-day EMA.

     


Read more in today's TSP Talk Plus Report.  We post more charts, indicators and analysis, plus discuss the allocations of the TSP and ETF Systems.  For more information on how to gain access and a list of the benefits of being a subscriber, please go to: www.tsptalk.com/plus.php

Thanks for reading, and thanks for your patience over the time I am out and about.  We'll see you tomorrow.

Tom Crowley


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  The easiest way to print this commentary is to copy and paste above into a document like Word.


Chart provided courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com
 
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S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)
Source: https://finance.google.com/finance

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